Below is the latest long term survey for unemployment,   needless to say analysts have a wide range of potential outcomes. Note that the Fed will stay consistent with their views as they are locked into assumptions made with the stress tests. If the deviate, banks will need to raise capital and concern for the long-term stability will again rise.

Better to look at the Median Forecast. Of course tomorrow will bring a new high close to 9.3% for the reported rate. Markets will surely do well if that is the maximum reported, but consumer related may continue to see weakness that started today.