{"id":7023,"date":"2010-01-06T12:24:13","date_gmt":"2010-01-06T17:24:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=7023"},"modified":"2016-09-20T05:49:54","modified_gmt":"2016-09-20T09:49:54","slug":"oil-and-gas-inventories-rise-traders-buy-oil-anyway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2010\/01\/06\/oil-and-gas-inventories-rise-traders-buy-oil-anyway\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil And Gas Inventories Rise: Traders Buy Oil Anyway"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>DOE Oil and gas inventories were released this morning. A much greater than expected build in gas and oil sent the price of oil down, initially. Again, there is thought that the cold weather will push up the price of crude and that there is a greater demand that may show up into 2010.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/world_day1lows-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7026 aligncenter\" title=\"world_day1lows\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/world_day1lows-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"490\" height=\"340\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Now, if we look closer at the longer-term charts, we can see that there has been a draw-down of inventories<!--more-->since May of 2009. Traders are not focusing on the longer-term over the recent fundamentals as they are bidding up oil after this report. So, how high will oil go?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Long-term-oil-gas-20100106.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5014 aligncenter\" title=\"Long term oil gas 20100106\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Long-term-oil-gas-20100106.jpg\" alt=\"Long term oil gas 20100106\" width=\"552\" height=\"724\" \/><\/a>In the near-term, oil has been stuck in a range that tops out close to $82. As a hedge against our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/mailbox\/tdi-investment-fund\/\">energy positions<\/a> we have added a small position of the ProShares UltraShort DJ-UBS Crude Oil (SCO) as we see that the recent numbers show a change to the inventory and use levels. Moreover, the cold weather is just a temporary phenomena and should abate. (Note: This position will be cut quickly if there is a significant turn for Oil &#8211; As we know, oil traders are not completely rational about the fundamentals)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Crude-daily-price-20100106.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5015 aligncenter\" title=\"Crude daily price 20100106\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Crude-daily-price-20100106.jpg\" alt=\"Crude daily price 20100106\" width=\"602\" height=\"269\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Inventories-20100106.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5013 aligncenter\" title=\"Inventories 20100106\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Inventories-20100106.jpg\" alt=\"Inventories 20100106\" width=\"548\" height=\"730\" \/><\/a><\/h3>\n<p>___<\/p>\n<p>Disclosure: <a title=\"Horowitz &amp; Company\" href=\"http:\/\/www.horowitzandcompany.com\">Horowitz &amp; Company<\/a> clients may hold positions of securities mentioned as of the date published.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DOE Oil and gas inventories were released this morning. A much greater than expected build in gas and oil sent the price of oil down, initially. Again, there is thought that the cold weather will push up the price of crude and that there is a greater demand that may show up into 2010. Now, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,12,21,42,253],"tags":[286,261,483],"class_list":["post-7023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-markets","category-short-ideas","category-stocks","category-strategy","tag-commodities","tag-energy","tag-markets","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7023","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7023"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7023\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7023"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7023"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7023"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}