{"id":7002,"date":"2010-01-05T14:16:22","date_gmt":"2010-01-05T19:16:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=7002"},"modified":"2016-09-20T05:51:13","modified_gmt":"2016-09-20T09:51:13","slug":"pending-home-sales-down-how-much","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2010\/01\/05\/pending-home-sales-down-how-much\/","title":{"rendered":"Pending Home Sales &#8211; Down How Much?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As we has been expecting, there was a heavy hangover from the temporary rush for the tax credit for home-buyers that would be noticeable over the next couple of months. That couldn&#8217;t have been more accurate as expectations called <!--more-->for<span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong> -2.0%<\/strong><\/span> and came in <span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>-16.0%<\/strong><\/span> on a month-over month basis.<\/p>\n<p>That, combined with mortgage rates at a 5-month high is damping the prospects as well.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/homoes-MoM-20100105.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4998 aligncenter\" title=\"homoes MoM 20100105\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/homoes-MoM-20100105.jpg\" alt=\"homoes MoM 20100105\" width=\"569\" height=\"326\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>On a year-over-year basis it translates to a 19.3% gain for pending home sales. That is good except economists were expecting 31%. Perhaps this is a one or two month aberration. It is possible that the rush to buy homes with the tax credit along with low interest rates provided as false sense of security to sellers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/HOMES-20100105.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4999 aligncenter\" title=\"HOMES 20100105\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/HOMES-20100105.jpg\" alt=\"HOMES 20100105\" width=\"570\" height=\"325\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Mortgage-Rates-201001051-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7012\" title=\"Mortgage Rates 20100105\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/Mortgage-Rates-201001051-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"603\" height=\"355\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Factory orders were stronger than anticipated. Again, as we have discussed previously, the inventory restocking cycle could continue to provide stronger manufacturing numbers and better factory orders through the second half of 2010. It will not be a straight line and will show pockets of weakness along the way. This is playing right into our projection that the 2H of 2010 will see a downturn for most eco numbers as the cycle shifts and government spending abates.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/factory-20100105.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5000 aligncenter\" title=\"factory 20100105\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/01\/factory-20100105.jpg\" alt=\"factory 20100105\" width=\"582\" height=\"329\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">___<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Disclosure: <a title=\"Horowitz &amp; Company\" href=\"http:\/\/www.horowitzandcompany.com\">Horowitz &amp; Company<\/a> clients may hold positions of securities mentioned as of the date published.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As we has been expecting, there was a heavy hangover from the temporary rush for the tax credit for home-buyers that would be noticeable over the next couple of months. That couldn&#8217;t have been more accurate as expectations called<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,12],"tags":[481,483],"class_list":["post-7002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-markets","tag-economy","tag-markets","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7002"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7002\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}