{"id":56872,"date":"2026-01-11T15:30:50","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T20:30:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=56872"},"modified":"2026-01-12T20:38:50","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T01:38:50","slug":"tdi-podcast-the-probability-payoff-955","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2026\/01\/11\/tdi-podcast-the-probability-payoff-955\/","title":{"rendered":"TDI Podcast: The Probability Payoff (#955)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Capturing Maduro and Buying Greenland \u2013 all in a day\u2019s work!<\/p>\n<p>Markets off to a great start \u2013 plenty of January to go&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Venezuela oil \u2013 untapped opportunity \u2013 BUT let\u2019s take a closer look.<\/p>\n<p>And our Guest \u2013 Todd Tresidder \u2013 Founder of FinancialMentor.com<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/the-disciplined-investor\/id217999782\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-54929 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ApplePodcasts-300x100.png\" alt=\"TDI Podcast on Apple Podcasts\" width=\"300\" height=\"100\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ApplePodcasts-300x100.png 300w, https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ApplePodcasts-610x204.png 610w, https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/ApplePodcasts.png 677w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong><em>NEW!<\/em> <\/strong><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/TDI-Notes-and-Summary-955.pdf\"><em><strong>DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE\u2019S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment)<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Todd-Tresidder-Headshot-3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-56873 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Todd-Tresidder-Headshot-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"130\" height=\"130\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Todd-Tresidder-Headshot-3.jpg 250w, https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Todd-Tresidder-Headshot-3-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Todd-Tresidder-Headshot-3-120x120.jpg 120w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 130px) 100vw, 130px\" \/><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/FinancialMentor.Com\">Todd Tresidder<\/a> graduated from the University of California at Davis with a B.A. in economics and a passion for creating successful businesses. A serial entrepreneur since childhood, Todd went on to build his own wealth as a hedge fund investment manager before &#8220;retiring&#8221; at 35 to teach others. Today, he provides advanced investment and retirement planning education at <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/FinancialMentor.Com\">FinancialMentor.Com<\/a><\/strong> showing you what works, what doesn\u2019t, and why based on a depth of proven experience.<\/p>\n<p>Todd is a financial coach and educator at FinancialMentor.com. He&#8217;s the author of five financial planning books including &#8216;How Much Money Do I Need To Retire?,&#8217; &#8216;Don&#8217;t Hire A Financial Coach,&#8217; and &#8216;Variable Annuity Pros and Cons.&#8217; You can connect with Todd via his website, <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/FinancialMentor.Com\">Financialmentor.com<\/a><\/strong>, Twitter <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Financialmentor\/\">@FinancialMentor<\/a>, or on Google+.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Check this out and find out more at: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/\">http:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/<\/a><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/mkt\/?src=tdi1&amp;url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-54327\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/InteractiveBrokers_logo1-e1607262448146.jpg\" alt=\"Interactive Brokers - Why IB?\" width=\"393\" height=\"87\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a class=\"twitter-follow-button\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/andrewhorowitz\" data-size=\"large\" data-show-count=\"false\">Follow @andrewhorowitz<\/a><script async=\"\" src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u00a0Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SHLD), (RTX), (SPY), (GLD), (XLE)<\/p>\n<div class=\"powerpress_player\" id=\"powerpress_player_4016\"><a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3\" title=\"Play\" onclick=\"return powerpress_embed_html5a('4016','http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3');\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/powerpress\/TDI_PlayPodcast-679.png\" title=\"Play\" alt=\"Play\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p class=\"powerpress_links powerpress_links_mp3\" style=\"margin-bottom: 1px !important;\">Podcast: <a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_pinw\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Play in new window\" onclick=\"return powerpress_pinw('https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?powerpress_pinw=56872-podcast');\" rel=\"nofollow\">Play in new window<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_d\" title=\"Download\" rel=\"nofollow\" download=\"tdi_episode955.mp3\">Download<\/a> (Duration: 1:06:07 &#8212; 60.8MB)<\/p><p class=\"powerpress_links powerpress_subscribe_links\">Subscribe: <a href=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/5vtvEVDPUi4221imwhXyXt\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_spotify\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Subscribe on Spotify\" rel=\"nofollow\">Spotify<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/tunein.com\/podcasts\/Markets-and-Investing\/The-Disciplined-Investor-p414586\/\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_tunein\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Subscribe on TuneIn\" rel=\"nofollow\">TuneIn<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/feed\/podcast\/\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_rss\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Subscribe via RSS\" rel=\"nofollow\">RSS<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/subscribe-to-podcast\/\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_more\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"More\" rel=\"nofollow\">More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Capturing Maduro and Buying Greenland \u2013 all in a day\u2019s work! Markets off to a great start \u2013 plenty of January to go&#8230; Venezuela oil \u2013 untapped opportunity \u2013 BUT let\u2019s take a closer look. And our Guest \u2013 Todd Tresidder \u2013 Founder of FinancialMentor.com NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE\u2019S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment)<\/p>\n<div class=\"powerpress_player\" id=\"powerpress_player_4017\"><a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3\" title=\"Play\" onclick=\"return powerpress_embed_html5a('4017','http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3');\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/powerpress\/TDI_PlayPodcast-679.png\" title=\"Play\" alt=\"Play\" style=\"border:0;\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p class=\"powerpress_links powerpress_links_mp3\" style=\"margin-bottom: 1px !important;\">Podcast: <a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_pinw\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Play in new window\" onclick=\"return powerpress_pinw('https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?powerpress_pinw=56872-podcast');\" rel=\"nofollow\">Play in new window<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/media.blubrry.com\/tdi_podcast\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/podcasts\/tdi_episode955.mp3\" class=\"powerpress_link_d\" title=\"Download\" rel=\"nofollow\" download=\"tdi_episode955.mp3\">Download<\/a> (Duration: 1:06:07 &#8212; 60.8MB)<\/p><p class=\"powerpress_links powerpress_subscribe_links\">Subscribe: <a href=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/5vtvEVDPUi4221imwhXyXt\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_spotify\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Subscribe on Spotify\" rel=\"nofollow\">Spotify<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/tunein.com\/podcasts\/Markets-and-Investing\/The-Disciplined-Investor-p414586\/\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_tunein\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Subscribe on TuneIn\" rel=\"nofollow\">TuneIn<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/feed\/podcast\/\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_rss\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Subscribe via RSS\" rel=\"nofollow\">RSS<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/subscribe-to-podcast\/\" class=\"powerpress_link_subscribe powerpress_link_subscribe_more\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"More\" rel=\"nofollow\">More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":56874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[9,296],"tags":[482,297],"class_list":["post-56872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-podcasts","category-shownotes","tag-podcasts","tag-show-notes","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56872","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56872"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56872\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":56890,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56872\/revisions\/56890"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}