{"id":16705,"date":"2011-11-25T09:19:07","date_gmt":"2011-11-25T14:19:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=16705"},"modified":"2016-09-20T20:54:53","modified_gmt":"2016-09-21T00:54:53","slug":"reader-request-correlation-of-the-euro-and-sp-500","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2011\/11\/25\/reader-request-correlation-of-the-euro-and-sp-500\/","title":{"rendered":"Reader Request: Correlation of the Euro and S&#038;P 500"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We <a title=\"This Euro\/SPX Correlation is Getting Ridiculous (Today\u2018s Chart)\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2011\/11\/23\/this-eurospx-correlation-is-getting-ridiculous-todays-chart\/\">recently wrote about the high correlation<\/a> of the intra-day moves between the Euro and the S&amp;P 500 index. A reader commented that they would like to know more about the longer term correlation of the <!--more-->two.<\/p>\n<h3><em>cor \u00b7re \u00b7la \u00b7tion<\/em>\/\u00cb\u0152k\u00c3\u00b4r\u00c9\u2122\u00cb\u02c6l\u00c4\u0081SH\u00c9\u2122n\/<\/h3>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"80px\">Noun:<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ol>\n<li>A mutual relationship or connection between two or more things.<\/li>\n<li>Interdependence of variable quantities.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>We went back and took a look at a few indices and put them against each other to see if there was something occurring that was simply a coincidence. Correlations will have a range of +1 to -1. If two prices move with together exactly, the correlation will show a +1. If they move exactly inversely, it will be -1. A random relationship is considered if the correlation is 0.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a class=\"twitter-follow-button\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/andrewhorowitz\" data-show-count=\"false\">Follow @andrewhorowitz<\/a><script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/euro_correlation-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-16706\" title=\"euro_correlation\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/euro_correlation-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" height=\"201\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nWe took a look at different time periods and found that the correlation of the Euro and the S&amp;P 500 index is getting closer and closer the closer we get toward today. In other words, the +.63 correlation is significant more recently. This shows that the relationship of the two are tight and the question that it raises is: Why?<\/p>\n<p>There are several possible answers that we have explored previously. But the most logical are:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Risk off and risk on trading<\/li>\n<li>Euro weakness signals fear of Europe debt crisis intensifying<\/li>\n<li>Carry-trades unwinding<\/li>\n<li>Macro fund sector rotation<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>No matter what the reason, this is something to watch as for now one or the other is pushing \/pulling with a high degree of correlation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"> \u00a0___<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">Looking to invest in The Disciplined Investor Managed Growth Strategy?<br \/>\nClick <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/mailbox\/tdi-investment-fund\/\"><strong>HERE<\/strong> <\/a>for the virtual tour&#8230;.<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">___<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We recently wrote about the high correlation of the intra-day moves between the Euro and the S&amp;P 500 index. A reader commented that they would like to know more about the longer term correlation of the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[483],"class_list":["post-16705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets","tag-markets","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16705\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}