{"id":15908,"date":"2011-10-21T09:00:02","date_gmt":"2011-10-21T13:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=15908"},"modified":"2016-09-20T10:09:08","modified_gmt":"2016-09-20T14:09:08","slug":"philly-fed-remarkably-strong-one-off-or-green-shoots","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2011\/10\/21\/philly-fed-remarkably-strong-one-off-or-green-shoots\/","title":{"rendered":"Philly Fed: Remarkably Strong : One-Off or Green Shoots?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It is good to see some econmic indicators startingf to turn from very ugly levels. The Philly Fed index has been a pretty good report to look at when looking to extrapolate ISM Manufacturing. There were still a few holes in the report, but the +8 reading was much better that the expectation for -9.4. Even better was that this is a healthy increase over last month&#8217;s -17 level.<\/p>\n<p>New orders picked up substantially as did the factory index. Both of these are <!--more-->signs that there is some activity brewing. Even so, the emplyment index fell severely. Interesting that with the new orders and factory index both increasing that employment fell.<\/p>\n<p>Notice that prices paid jumped and that is in-line with the hot <a title=\"Inflation Trends: PPI Explodes on Headline Number\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2011\/10\/18\/inflation-trends-ppi-explodes-on-headline-number\/\"><strong>PPI we saw earlier this week<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/phillyfed1-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-15947\" title=\"phillyfed1\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/phillyfed1-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"533\" height=\"321\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Generally, this is a report that goes into the positive side of the economic checklist. We will need to confirm that the other regional manufacturing reports confirm the same. (Richmond Manufacturing out at 10am &#8211; prior was -6)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>U.S. OCT. PHILADELPHIA FED NEW ORDERS INDEX 7.8 VS -11.3<\/li>\n<li>U.S. OCT. PHILADELPHIA FED EMPLOYMENT INDEX 1.4 VS 5.8<\/li>\n<li>U.S. OCT. PHILADELPHIA FED PRICES-PAID INDEX 20.0 VS 23.2<\/li>\n<li>U.S. OCT. PHILADELPHIA FED FUTURE INDEX 27.2 VS 21.4<\/li>\n<li>U.S. OCT. PHILADELPHIA FED PRICES-RECEIVED AT -2.5 VS 0.9<\/li>\n<li>U.S. OCT. PHILADELPHIA FED FACTORY INDEX AT 8.7 VS -17.5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The headline news:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>(Bloomberg) &#8212; Manufacturing in the Philadelphia area unexpectedly expanded in October at the fastest pace in six months, signaling factories are helping support a U.S. economy weighed down by weakness in the housing and labor markets.<\/p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia\u2018s general economic index increased to 8.7 from minus 17.5 last month, the biggest one-month rebound in 31 years. Readings greater than zero indicate expansion in the area covering eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey and Delaware.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It is good to see some econmic indicators startingf to turn from very ugly levels. The Philly Fed index has been a pretty good report to look at when looking to extrapolate ISM Manufacturing. There were still a few holes in the report, but the +8 reading was much better that the expectation for -9.4. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,12],"tags":[481],"class_list":["post-15908","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-markets","tag-economy","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15908","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15908"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15908\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15908"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15908"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15908"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}