{"id":14274,"date":"2011-07-28T12:16:41","date_gmt":"2011-07-28T16:16:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=14274"},"modified":"2011-07-28T12:16:41","modified_gmt":"2011-07-28T16:16:41","slug":"crocs-crox-rocks-blowout-quarter-showing-breakout-potential","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2011\/07\/28\/crocs-crox-rocks-blowout-quarter-showing-breakout-potential\/","title":{"rendered":"Croc&#8217;s (CROX) Rocks! &#8211; Blowout Quarter Showing Breakout Potential"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>If you have been a longtime reader, you will remember that there was a time that we were adamant about the inevitable fall of Croc&#8217;s (CROX). That was back in 2007-2008. At that time, Croc&#8217;s was a &#8220;fashion&#8221; trend and it seemed that everyone was wearing those bright colored clunker rubber shoes. We looked at the data, studies the trend and found the stock to be just as unappealing as the shoes were.<\/p>\n<p>Here are a few examples:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a title=\"TDI Episode 68: Crocs Makes a Great Toilet Seat\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2008\/08\/03\/tdi-episode-68-crox-and-the-toilet-seat\/\">8\/2007 -Crocs Makes A Great Toilet Seat<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a title=\"Crocs  Riding the Rollercoaster\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2007\/08\/06\/crocs-rollercoaster\/\">8\/2007 &#8211; Crocs &#8211; Riding The RollerCoaster<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a title=\"Update  Don\u2018t get caught with your Crocs Down\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2007\/07\/20\/crocs-is-a-short2\/\">7\/2007 &#8211; Don&#8217;t Get Caught With Your Croc&#8217;s Down<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a title=\"CrocsThe Emperor\u2018s New Shoes\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2007\/06\/07\/crocs\/\">6\/2007 &#8211; Crocs, The Emperors New Shoes<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Fast forward a few years, after the stock went from a high of \u00a0 close to $70,<!--more--> to a low of just above $1. Since the near-death experience of the company, there has been a significant change to their product line. Management has taken the various companies that they bought with an overinflated stock price and rolled it into the product line.<\/p>\n<p>If you have not seen the depth and breadth of shoe styles that are now available, you are missing something. From boots to topsiders, all are made with the special rubberized material that made Crocs famous. The main difference is that now they are doing it with <em><strong>style<\/strong><\/em>.(See Products <a href=\"http:\/\/www.crocs.com\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>HERE<\/strong><\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Crocs still relies on fad-like styles to really make a hit. Recently they introduced the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.crocs.com\/crocs-chameleons\/crocs-chameleons,default,pg.html\" target=\"_blank\">Chameleons<\/a> \u201e\u00a2 Translucent shoe that changes color depending on the light.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Color Change Details<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Oyster (white) clog changes to pink lemonade in the sun.<\/li>\n<li>Yellow clog changes to lime green in the sun.<\/li>\n<li>Celery clog changes to sea blue in the sun.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These have been reported to be flying off of the shelves. With the new additions and the overall<\/p>\n<p>We have the stock since the initial break last month and have added to the position over the past weeks. The earnings report was very uplifting:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Crocs reports Q2 (Jun) results, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Crocs reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.61 per share, compared to consensus estimates of $0.44. The company says it benefited from modifications in tax treaties in its international businesses which together with other tax planning resulted in an effective tax rate below 15% for the quarter. Revenues rose 29.6% year\/year to $295.6 mln vs the $281.7 mln consensus.<\/p>\n<p>The company also issued upside guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.40 vs. $0.32 estimate; it also sees Q3 revs of $280 mln vs. $262.06 mln consensus estimate. Shares moved higher after-hours and continue to see a bid of 9% above the close into the open. The shares continued to remain strong and volume is heavy with the price up 10%. It appears that Croc\u2018s may have some running room from here.<\/p>\n<p>Below is the <a title=\"Which Is A Better Investment: Apple (AAPL) or The U.S.A.?\" href=\"http:\/\/wwww.horowitzandcompany.com\"><strong>Horowitz &amp; Company<\/strong><\/a> OneSheet on the company that provides a detail of the data points that we believe are most important in the researching of a position.<\/p>\n<p><a style=\"margin: 12px auto 6px auto; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 14px; line-height: normal; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; -x-system-font: none; display: block; text-decoration: underline;\" title=\"View CROX 20110728 on Scribd\" href=\"http:\/\/www.scribd.com\/doc\/61133787\/CROX-20110728\">CROX 20110728<\/a><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"doc_51350\" src=\"http:\/\/www.scribd.com\/embeds\/61133787\/content?start_page=1&amp;view_mode=list&amp;access_key=key-2lek49kijsl2a472ukbj\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600\" data-auto-height=\"true\" data-aspect-ratio=\"1.2938689217759\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function() { var scribd = document.createElement(\"script\"); scribd.type = \"text\/javascript\"; scribd.async = true; scribd.src = \"http:\/\/www.scribd.com\/javascripts\/embed_code\/inject.js\"; var s = document.getElementsByTagName(\"script\")[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(scribd, s); })();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you have been a longtime reader, you will remember that there was a time that we were adamant about the inevitable fall of Croc&#8217;s (CROX). That was back in 2007-2008. At that time, Croc&#8217;s was a &#8220;fashion&#8221; trend and it seemed that everyone was wearing those bright colored clunker rubber shoes. We looked at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[24,12,42],"tags":[487,483,490],"class_list":["post-14274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings","category-markets","category-stocks","tag-earnings","tag-markets","tag-stocks","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14274","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14274\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}