{"id":13566,"date":"2011-06-01T08:31:37","date_gmt":"2011-06-01T12:31:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/?p=13566"},"modified":"2016-09-20T18:33:03","modified_gmt":"2016-09-20T22:33:03","slug":"these-are-terrible-employment-numbers-charts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/2011\/06\/01\/these-are-terrible-employment-numbers-charts\/","title":{"rendered":"These Are Terrible Employment Numbers (Charts)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The ADP number was <strong>exceptionally<\/strong> weak. Missing estimates by over 150,000 shows that the slowdown is for real. It appears that last week&#8217;s economic reports are no fluke and the lower consumer confidence report that we saw yesterday was spot on.<\/p>\n<p>The hardest hit area from the ADP report seems to be the good producing sector but all things <!--more-->considered, a rise of only 30,000 at this stage of the &#8220;recovery&#8221; is not cause to celebrate.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/adp06102011.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-13576\" title=\"adp06102011\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/adp06102011.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"557\" height=\"348\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>There is a generally a good correlation between the ADP number and the all-important NFP report that we will see this Friday. We will certainly read about a good number of downward revisions to that number over the next few days.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/payrolltrnd_06012011.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-13575\" title=\"payrolltrnd_06012011\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/payrolltrnd_06012011.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" height=\"345\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Finally, notice that on the chart below there has been an uptick of firing announcements and far fewer for hires. That is consistent with what we are seeing with the manufacturing and PMI numbers released over the past few weeks.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/hiefire06012011.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-13574\" title=\"hiefire06012011\" src=\"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/hiefire06012011.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"579\" height=\"342\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ADP number was exceptionally weak. Missing estimates by over 150,000 shows that the slowdown is for real. It appears that last week&#8217;s economic reports are no fluke and the lower consumer confidence report that we saw yesterday was spot on. The hardest hit area from the ADP report seems to be the good producing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,12],"tags":[481,483],"class_list":["post-13566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-markets","tag-economy","tag-markets","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13566"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13566\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedisciplinedinvestor.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}